Tight race in Serie B as 10 teams battle for promotion; check it out

The fight for the four spots in Serie A next year promises to liven up the last five rounds of the Brazilian Serie B. Ten teams have real chances in this final stretch, according to the Department of Mathematics at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG).

Ten teams in the running
Coritiba leads Serie B and is the one with the best chances of promotion. However, the distance to Novorizontino, the first team out of the top 4, is only three points.

Chapecoense, Criciúma, Remo, and Novorizontino are tied with 54 points each. The first three are currently within the access zone to Serie A due to tiebreaker criteria.

Goiás, Athletico, Cuiabá, CRB, and Atlético-GO are a bit further behind but also have promotion chances. The latter two have lower possibilities as they are six points away from the top 4.

Promotion chances
Coritiba – 93.5%

Chapecoense – 68.8%

Criciúma – 68.3%

Novorizontino – 59.6%
Remo – 49.2%
Athletico – 24.6%

Goiás – 20.3%

Cuiabá – 8.9%

CRB – 3.8%

Atlético-GO – 3%

Top 10 standings
Coritiba – 57 points

Chapecoense – 54 points (16 wins)

Criciúma – 54 points (15 wins)

Remo – 54 points (14 wins and +10 goal difference)

Novorizontino – 54 points (14 wins and +9 goal difference)

Goiás – 52 points

Athletico – 50 points (14 wins)

Cuiabá – 50 points (13 wins)

CRB – 48 points (14 wins)

Atlético-GO – 48 points (12 wins)

Remaining fixtures for the top 10 teams in Serie B
34th round
Novorizontino vs. Botafogo-SP

Cuiabá vs. Remo

Volta Redonda vs. Coritiba

Criciúma vs. Goiás

CRB vs. Atlético-GO

Chapecoense vs. Operário

Athletico vs. Amazonas